Category Archive: Skepticism

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How open is your mind?

I hear a lot of talk about open-mindedness. People pride themselves quite often on just how open their minds are, as though this is a great mental accomplishment and places their thought processes above those of the lesser minds who would close themselves off to the great possibilities of this universe. There are so many incredible possibilities out there that the poor, close-minded person can’t grasp or even accept as possibilities, and they’re left out of all the fun in which their open-minded friends and family get to participate. Such a sad life is that of the close-minded person.

But let’s examine for a moment what it really means to be open or close-minded, and the realities of each. I’m going to provide you with a simple thought experiment to see just how close-minded you are:

Sitting on my coffee table is a shoebox. Quite ordinary and plain, stripped of the price tags and such once adorning it, with the logo of some store brand shoe company. I point to the box and inform you that there is, in fact, a small rhinoceros in the box.

You’re snickering. Why? Don’t you have an open mind? Anything is possible, and who are you to decide that there can’t be a small rhinoceros in that shoebox? The universe is full of possibilities. Don’t you owe it to yourself to be open to this one and not miss out?

That’s better. I see you’ve come to your senses and remembered how open your mind is. Now that that’s corrected, why don’t you open the box and take a look at the rhinoceros. They’re really quite adorable at such a miniature scale.

What’s that? The box is empty? Oh, dear. Well, give it a minute and then open it up again. I’m sure it will be there this time, and it really is just too cute to miss out on.

What do you mean “that’s ridiculous?” Keep an open mind. Just because it wasn’t there a moment ago is no evidence that it won’t be there now. Remember: anything is possible.

I see your hesitation, but clearly you realize your dedication to open-mindedness must be preserved, and you open the box again only to find it empty.

How strange. I assure you it must be there. Why don’t you give it a few more minutes and then open it up again?

What? You refuse? You say there’s clearly no small rhinoceros in that shoebox and there’s never going to be? Tsk, tsk. You’re so close-minded.

There’s a progression between leaving your mind open to possibilities and finally closing it and moving it on. Somewhere between the two you have to cross a line where you decide that continuing to stay open to a possibility is simply irrational and absurd. For different people this line exists in different places. Some might have drawn that line with my first suggestion of a small rhino in a shoebox, rendering internally all the reasons this defies logic and reason, and refusing to so much as open the box. Another person might simply have taken the extra step of realizing there’s no harm in opening the box beyond being laughed at if I were merely playing a joke on them. Some even more rational people might run through the possible ways in which I might be using wordplay or omitting facts, suspecting I mean a toy rhino, or a drawing of a rhino, and opening the box to see such an object.

However I daresay that nearly all rational people, whether or not they pride themselves on open-mindedness, would close their minds to the rhino-in-the-box scenario upon opening it and confirming the lack of said rhino. It takes a very… special person to remain so dedicated to their open-mindedness that they would ignore this clear resolution to the question and continue down my path of assertions that it will reappear at any moment. And even the most extreme example I give in my scenario still gives up at some point and determines the rhino is a no-show, no matter how adorable I assure you it is.

Now the other end of the scale that I mentioned has a person refusing to so much as open the box. I would tend to agree that such a person would fit the definition of “close-minded” relatively well, as well as fuddy-duddy and a bore, as well as someone I’m rather confident I’ve never met. But the next step, the person who’s willing to open the box under the assumption that there’s a trick to be played, or a circumstance that he or she had not considered, seems to me quite open-minded indeed. This person recognizes the absurdity of the claim, but also recognizes their lack of clear knowledge of all of the circumstances surrounding the situation and is willing to entertain the possibility that their assumption, no matter how well-founded it is, could be wrong. Once the box is opened and their initial assumption is confirmed, though, they move on and waste no more time on the subject.

The point I’m trying to make here is that along the scale from closed-to-open minds, the people being accused of being close-minded are rarely actually so, while the people who pride themselves on open-minded are never as open-minded as they claim to be. There’s always a line that will change one from the other if you just search hard enough for it.

When it comes to scientific endeavors, the so-called close-minded use these exact same tactics. They’ll take a claim and test it. Oh, sure, the tests for most absurd claims are far, far more complex than merely peeking into a box, but the base principle is the same. They take the claim and they pass it through all the possible tests. Depending on the complexity or importance of the test, there may be far more interest, far more rigorous tests, and far more people involved. But the idea remains the same that it’s carefully tested. Sometimes these close-minded scientists get a surprise and find that there’s something to this that they might not initially have assumed was there. Other times the tests continually disprove the claim.

But this is where the so-called open minds step in and cry foul. This is where claims are made that those damned close-minded scientists merely don’t want to see the truth. They’re ignoring the possibilities that are out there and are just covering their ears and humming, while the enlightened folks with their open minds can see what’s really going on. And no amount of scientific testing, research, facts, figures, statistics, and proof will change the mind of that open-minded person. That’s right, the open-minded will not be moved, because they know the truth, and their wide-open minds will not be changed no matter what you close-minded researchers learned about the subject. Huh… strange how similar being incredibly open-minded is to being extremely close-minded when viewed from the other side, isn’t it?

There’s a phrase, recently popular thanks to Tim Minchin (although he’ll readily admit it’s not his): “If you open your mind too much your brain will fall out.” It’s funny, and while not literally true, it says a lot that comes close. When one opens their minds to all possibilities, and leaves it as wide open as possible, never narrowing the opening, never closing it for certain ideas that have played out their feasibility, never recognizing when something absurd has been sufficiently disproven, one loses all abilities to settle on any of reality. One loses the ability to look at something and recognize when it’s real, when it’s true, when it’s solid, when it can be believed, trusted, accepted, and relied upon. Everything becomes possible, and anything can be true and untrue, and you can’t settle down and move on. You get stuck and can no longer see the forest for the trees, the trees for the forest, or whether or not such things really exist.

Open-mindedness is wonderful, and it’s something that those of us who have been accused of not having it actually cherish. The ability and willingness to look at any possibility, examine it with as little bias as possible, test it, and reach a conclusion based on logic, reason, research, and the work of others gives us the ability to not only open our minds, but expand them with an endless array of facts and truths that turn us on to all of the very real possibilities of this world. But we must never close our minds off to the possibility that reality is just that, and some things aren’t possible, some things don’t happen, any dream we have isn’t the same as reality, and believing something against all evidence doesn’t make us open-minded, but close-minded to the only reality we have, and the endless possibilities it provides us if we just focus on them and stop blurring them with fantasy.

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IIG 10th Anniversary Party recap

Saturday night was the party and awards ceremony celebrating the Independent Investigations Group‘s 10th anniversary.

The party consisted of food, drinks, cake, chatter, wonderful special guests, and awards. Some of the guests included well-known heavyweights like Michael Shermer and Brian Dunning, as well as friend/colleague/lord Brian Dalton (Mr. Deity), and esteemed experts such as Carol Tavris, Harriet Hall and Eugenie Scott. This list were all presented with awards from the IIG for their achievements in promoting science, skepticism, and critical thinking.

Also awarded that evening for their achievements and assistance within the IIG were fellow members Wendy Hughes, Dave Richards, and Ross Blocher. Wendy and Dave each have brought to the IIG some of its biggest and most valuable investigations throughout its history, and Ross has pulled excessive all-nighters in redesigning the group’s web site, designing brochures and business cards, and more.

Also awarded were staff from the productions of Eureka and The Mentalist. While both could be said to play a little loose with factual science (especially the former), BOTH shows promote science and critical thinking heavily as forces for good, progress, and solving problems. They cast these topics in a positive light and help the viewers see just what we can accomplish when we focus on these topics. These two shows received the IIG’s special new SurlyRamics trophy designed by Amy Roth of Skepchick, which was truly beautiful and unique to our group.

The ceremony went smoothly and kept the attention of the crowd of over 100 people, many of whom were visiting the CFI or an IIG event for the first time, and all of whom seemed to leave with an extremely positive impression of our group and what we can achieve with little more than dedication and volunteer efforts.

I think it’s clear that after this weekend the IIG can expect to continue to steadily climb in its influence on critical thinking and skepticism. We’re branching out with affiliates across the country, and our own group has major efforts underway including our in-depth Power Balance investigation plans, The Odds Must Be Crazy web site, further efforts into the California Board of Registered Nurses reform, and much more that we’re not yet ready to talk about.

TAM8 left me with a lot of pride for the IIG’s place in the grand scheme and the respect we garnered from the community, but Saturday’s ceremony cemented it. Our impact cannot be questioned, and our support and success are all but assured if we keep up this pace.

Thanks to anyone who showed up to the event, as well as those who watched live on Ustream, where the event can still be viewed. Your interest and enthusiasm meant the world to us.

Here’s to another great year!

NOTE: This was written via the WordPress app on my Android phone. As such it’s tricky to verify spelling and create appropriate links right now. When I have time to edit from a computer I’ll review it and correct these issues.

EDIT: I’ve now gone ahead and made my adjustments including links and spelling verifications. Should be in better shape now.

http://www.skeptic.com/
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Rationality – Now in hip-hop form

There’s really not much I can say to do this video justice that isn’t done by the video itself. Well-produced, fantastic animation, and good, clear messages. Glad to see the skeptical community is growing to encompass ALL forms, including people who can produce music like this:

The skeptical, rational, freethinking movement is growing at a ridiculous pace, and is unstoppable. The differences being made every day are more and more powerful and real, and the frauds out to make a dime on the unwitting public’s lack of knowledge are having to work harder than ever to skate past us. We’re on the case, and we’re not resting anymore. If you make your living off of lies and deception, you’d better start watching your back, because I can assure you, we’ve got you in our sights.

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Regen Traynor Paranormal Challenge – Results

So yesterday I attended my first meeting at IIG (Independent Investigations Group) West, which is a division of the Center for Inquiry West. Before yesterday I hadn’t quite realized the history of the CFI. It encompasses several sub-organizations, the original of which was CSI (The Committee for Skeptical Inquiry, formerly CSICOP), which was co-founded by Carl Sagan and Isaac Asimov. I got quite the chill when I realized the history of the place I was in at that moment. Exciting stuff. It also houses the Steve Allen Theatre where they put on some fascinating products I hope to attend in the future.

Anyway, the meeting itself was interesting enough, although mainly just your standard committee meeting of sorts, discussing ongoing and upcoming investigations and events. It’s not the sexiest stuff, but as a skeptic it was interesting to see the process that goes into planning the investigations that we later only hear the results of. They’ve pulled a lot of great stunts for the sake of education, like the fake continuing education course for the CBRN (California Board of Registered Nurses) that they were licensed for containing such things as Chinese shéyou (literally translates to “snake-oil”), anthropomancy (fortune-telling via human entrails), and canupiary flexibility (canupiary exists in no language anywhere in the world). Their point was that after years of trying to point out the flaws in the CBRN’s system and getting no response, they decided to prove via a stunt how poor their standards are. There’s a lot of tricks they pull like this, and finding out how much work and planning go into them is fascinating.

One thing that did stand out was the attendance and subsequent joining of our group by Anita Ikonen, who was the previous paranormal challenger at the IIG, being tested on her ability to see inside the human body by having her figure out which of 12 people, facing away from her, was missing a kidney. She claims to have since realized her history of woo (such as her reliance on Breatharianism, the belief that we get all the sustaining nutrients we need from the air, making water and food unnecessary) was misfounded, and her new pursuit of degrees in physics and chemistry have given her a better perspective on science and the way the world really works. While some expressed skepticism (no joke intended) at this change of heart, when it comes to humans striving to improve themselves I try to keep the most open mind of all, and I wish her the best of luck.

I also had the good fortune of meeting Mark Edward, a world-renowned magician, mentalist, and reformed psychic who now fights on the side of good and honesty. He’s appeared on Penn & Teller: Bullshit! at least once (pilot episode), and is great at proving the tricks and trades of mediums, psychics, palm-readers, etc. by giving the exact same types of readings they do, with the same results, and then explaining how he did it. He’s one of the best forms of proof we have that the amazing revelations people believe they’ve been provided by these charlatans can be easily repeated by someone who makes no such claim to have those abilities, using good old-fashioned trickery and deceit. He was there to lend his expert oversight of the test and hopefully to catch any parlor tricks being pulled by the challenger, although as you’ll see later that was probably unneeded.

Mark wasn’t the only exciting person I met there, although the others are less of a celebrity to the average person. Derek Bartholomaus is a well-known skeptic and creator of the deeply valuable Jenny McCarthy Body Count, and has been interviewed on various podcasts. He’s another person I’ve definitely known of, and although I’ve conversed with him on Twitter and Facebook, this was the first time I got to meet him and hang out with him. As well, I met SurlyAmy of the incomparable SkepChick blog which is hugely valuable within the skepticism circles. She and I share a birthday, and it was agreed that this makes us both awesome. While that claim may have little substantiating evidence beyond mere coincidence of birth, I’m quite comfortable that the results are accurate without requiring further investigation. I also met several people from the CFI who I later realized were already familiar to me from having appeared on Penn & Teller: Bullshit!, such as Jim Underdown who also appears in the pilot.

One truly amazing thing about this group of people is how comfortable they are with one another as well as newcomers such as myself. I was instantly welcomed, with people introducing themselves to me, asking me questions about myself, and carrying on in-depth conversations with me as though I had been a member of the group for years. It was an instant and trusting connection, and something I feel honored to be a part of. These are truly good, honest, caring people who want nothing more than to help cut the bullshit out of the world and make some progress in letting people focus their health and resources on reality.

Anyway, after a nice lunch at Bamboo House (a very good Thai place within walking distance), we returned to where the test circumstances had been prepared. The challenger, Regen, had come in from Seattle via bus the day before with a buddy of his. His previous scheduled challenge had to be delayed as he was in jail at the time. I made a conscious effort not let this prejudice my opinion of him. People make mistakes, and it doesn’t always reflect them overall, not to mention it should have no bearing on whether they have supernatural powers.

Speaking of which, Regen’s claim (or at least the aspect of the claim being tested yesterday) was that he could project images telepathically to another person (hence the buddy) through walls. So the test was pretty simple. Deck of cards, shuffled, and displayed to him one by one while his buddy in another room, visible to him via a CCTV, “received” each card and noted it, with each card being numbered and documented on the other side. Afterwards the results would be compared and if he got 7 out of 52 matched (somewhere in the 13,600:1 odds range), they’d consider the preliminary test passed and move on to the final test with stricter standards at a later, and far more publicized date. Logical enough.

My first sign that something wasn’t quite right was when Regen walked into the room. His limbs were all over the place, he was muttering to himself, and as he sat down in his chair he reached up and yanked off his shirt. I initially suspected he may have been mentally challenged in some way, but it quickly became apparent that he was merely drunk and/or high. He later confirmed on more than one occasion throughout and after the test that he was drunk. So much for taking this seriously.

Thing is, though, he did seem to take it quite seriously. Throughout the test, despite occasionally forgetting the card he was just looking at, saying the card out loud (against the rules), forgetting how to spell “spades,” talking in general, and occasionally forgetting whether he was supposed to be sending or receiving the card, he would get quite upset at the fact that his buddy didn’t appear to be moving on-screen. He expressed concern that we might have frozen the feed and were cheating in some way. While a rule had been clearly set in place that there could be no form of communication between the two of them in either direction, Jim (the person officiating the test in a sense) did go ahead and radio back to have his friend raise three fingers or give another signal occasionally. Regen seemed pleased with this result each time before paranoia set back in.

Eventually the test concluded, his friend was brought out, and the results were tallied in front of everyone. First the actual cards that had been drawn were put up on the board. Everyone in the audience had also been given score sheets so we could play along. Some, such as myself, tried to also receive his signals, but those signals seemed to come in the form of me thinking about cards and randomly picking them, and carefully re-reviewing my list and making sure I didn’t repeat any. Near the end of filling out my sheet I noticed I had left out 10s completely and had to shoehorn them in the remaining slots. Others, such as Mark Edward himself, went ahead and predicted the entire thing ahead of time. Although they asked us officially at the end what our results were, we were pretty much calling out our hits as we went along. I actually had one match, as did several other audience members, and even Mark Edward. Apparently the odds of that are 1.75:1.

Next they pulled out his friend’s sheet and put those results up on the board. Although the results were clearly posted, Regen gave his own audible play-by-play of the results as he read his sheet, trying to claim hits when one half of the card (suit or number) was a match, or commenting on how drunk he must have been when he made his notes as what he wrote made no sense (“on that one I just wrote ‘okay.’ I don’t know why.”). I decided for the heck of it to track my results against his friend’s, just in case Regen really had been transmitting results, just the wrong ones. Sure enough, I matched TWO of his buddy’s results, which must mean… something… … ? Yeah.

Anyway, the long and the short of it is that Regen has no telepathic transmission abilities, or his buddy sucks at receiving them, or he should have laid off the sauce, as they got a perfect 0 out of 52. Not a single card matched. So yes, even I and Mark Edward and several audience members managed to do slightly better by guessing. When confronted with this, the guys mostly just laughed it off, blaming it on being drunk (calling themselves Cheech and Chong, although initially reversing the ethnicities before catching their error), referring to it as “just a game,” and taking it as no big deal. An interesting juxtaposition from his earlier concern over everything being done properly. Either way, he and his friend seemed to have a good time and said as much, and it was definitely entertaining for the rest of us, although not necessarily in the ways we expected.

btw, one person suggested that his friend learn to count cards so he could be a bit more convincing. I’d have to agree, as reviewing the results showed a lot of obvious patterns. He passed on two three, and used 10 5s and 11 3s in his results, and almost no face cards. Definite signs of the human mind’s attempt at random guessing. As well, when asked if they had practiced at all under the test conditions they had agreed upon ahead of time, and per the recommendation of the center, they admitted they had not. I wasn’t surprised as I had learned earlier that this answer could pretty much be predicted with almost flawless accuracy in all challenges. Over-confidence can be a killer.

You can find the full video of the event here, although it did run a couple of hours. That said, if you’re into drunk guys getting confused while telepathically transmitting playing cards, I think it may be the only show in town. Enjoy!

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Skeptical challenges – I want to believe!

So tomorrow I’ll be attending my very first skeptical challenge, held at IIG West in Hollywood. If you don’t know what a skeptical challenge is, read on for a basic explanation.

The most well-known challenge is the Million-Dollar Challenge by the James Randi Educational Foundation. The principle is simply that if someone with paranormal abilities can prove themselves to the judges of the challenge, they win a million dollars. The IIG challenge I’ll be witnessing tomorrow is for “only” $50,000, which would certainly pay off my debt and give me more money each month to spend on enjoying myself, so you can see the appeal in applying.

Thing is, though, not that many people apply. Certainly not the big fish, like the television psychics, or the people who push their books and videos and such in infomercials and online, or hold live events. People like John Edwards, or Sylvia Browne, or Uri Gellar are all held in such high regard by their believers, and claim without a shadow of a doubt that they’re the real deal, really knowing things they shouldn’t be able to know, talking to the dead, telekinetically affecting the world around them, etc., and yet they all avoid these challenges. When asked, they’ll make up excuses such as, “I don’t need the money” (bet you a charity could use a donation in your name if you’re really that rich), “I know what I can do and my followers know what I can do, so I don’t need to prove it to anyone else” (imagine how many MORE followers you’d have to pay for your services if you did prove it), or “the challenge is rigged to prevent a person from winning because all the skeptics really want to do is disprove your abilities.” And THAT’s the sticking point I want to discuss in this post.

This isn’t an uncommon belief, and I suppose I can see where it’s coming from. It’s hard to believe anyone would actually want to fork over a million dollars, and when the people doing so have spent their entire careers consistently disproving supernatural phenomena, it’s easy to assume that’s all they do, that’s their focus and goal. But it’s actually not entirely true. Yes, one of our main angles as skeptics is to help prevent the public from being hurt by hucksters, scam artists, thieves, and charlatans who are out to take their money in exchange for false promises. We expose lies in alternative medicine to prevent people from avoiding REAL medicine that could actually solve their problems. We expose people who will do anything to separate you from your money and give you nothing in return. But that’s not all we do, and it’s not the entire purpose of the challenges.

See, deep down inside, many skeptics WANT to believe. I know, this seems contrary to everything I’ve said above as well as our image, but bear with me for a minute here. Skeptics are people just like everyone else, with interests and hobbies and fascinations, one of which happens to be an intent focus on scientific exploration of the world, and making decisions based upon that. But something that goes alongside a love of science is that most of us tend to be geeks to some degree or another (the cool, lovable modern geeks, that is). And as geeks, we tend to have certain specific interests, although they’re slowly becoming more mainstream. Things like speculative fiction (science fiction and fantasy), horror, magic, comic books, and science are all part of the stereotype. And the stereotype has some truth to it. No, this doesn’t fit each and every individual in the group, but each of these concepts is much more popular among the geek segment, and likely among the skeptical circles. So what’s my point?

Having grown up with these concepts and loves, us geeks spent much of our lives, and probably still do, fantasizing about a world where these things were all real. We’ve dreamed, we’ve written stories, we’ve wished and hoped that some of these things might actually exist out there. Sure many of us have grown jaded as we’ve gotten older and accepted that they don’t, but that doesn’t stop us from wanting them to. And every last one of us would be excited beyond belief to discover that just one of these loves was actually true.

Sci-fi geeks would kill to find out that quantum mechanics allows for technology beyond our dreams that defies the laws of physics. Fantasy dwellers would love to find out that mythological creatures really do exist and are hiding in the world among us. Horror aficionados disappointed by the lack of dark corners in our world to be freaked out by would go ga-ga to learn that ghosts and hauntings are real. Magic nuts would trip out if a magician came about who did tricks that had no grounding in sleight of hand, but really were beyond a normal person’s abilities. Comic book-lovers would kill to find out superheroes really exist among us, with crazy abilities that they have to hide from the world. And scientists dream of discovering new principles beyond the current rules of science that could open up entire fields to explore and research, also opening up research funds, Nobel prizes, and the like.

See, all of these types of people would love to find out that our world encompasses these very things we geek out over in a very real sense. And if there’s even a slim chance they could exist, we want to find them. And THAT’s another place these challenges come into play, as a tool to find the unknown.

Currently our world is full of the liars I mentioned earlier, and they ruin our chance of finding anyone who might really, truly have something to show us that fits the bill of an amazing discovery. They distract us with their tricks and hoaxes, and take up valuable time that could be spent researching the real deal, if it so happens to exist. So if we just opened up a center of sorts to look at anyone who claimed they had special abilities, we’d get pretty much only people wasting our time. But the challenge acts as a filter. We’re willing to put up the money if you’re willing to meet the rules to PROVE you can do what you say you can do. The liars and cheats look at this, read the rules, and realize there’s no way they’re getting that money, and they walk away. This leaves only the people who actually BELIEVE they can do what they say they can do. And this is a much, much smaller group, making it a lot easier to weed through them to possibly find something promising.

Another question asked is why would we WANT to give up the money? Even if they had the abilities, and assuming we genuinely DO want to find those abilities, isn’t it still in our best interest to cover it up so as not to have to shell out a large amount of money? Who’s got $50,000/$1,000,000 to just give away? Well, there’s a simple answer to this one, too: Those dollar figures are PEANUTS compared to the money that could be made promoting someone who passed the challenge. If you found the first person truly proven to have supernatural abilities, can’t you imagine all the ways in which you could make a fortune off of it? There’d be tours, talk shows, book deals, television appearances, advertising, and more. Not to mention likely awards (Nobel being one of many possibilities), positions involved in further testing of the ability and the scientific research that would go into it, etc. There would be far more money, fame, notoriety and excitement to be had from awarding the prize than ever to continuously turn it down.

Now I’m not going to lie and tell you there isn’t a certain expectation that the people participating in the challenge are going to fail. Let’s face it, nobody’s ever passed, we have a pretty darn good understanding of the laws that govern our world, and the pattern’s pretty firmly fixed. Nobody’s surprised when someone fails because the reality is that’s exactly what’s expected. But my point here is to explain that despite that expectation, despite that assumption that there is nothing supernatural in this world and nobody’s going to win that prize, that doesn’t stop us from wanting it to happen. As skeptics we’re not immune to excitement, and it’s not our goal to pee in people’s cornflakes. We just value honesty and reality more than lies and cons and self-delusion. But like everyone else, we root for the underdog, and we all hope to be involved in an incredible discovery that changes the world. And that’s one of the opportunities these challenges provide, and it’s one I’m going to try to keep in mind tomorrow. Regardless of what I expect to happen, I WANT the person being tested to truly be someone special, and it would be a hell of an experience to get to tell my grandkids about in the off-chance it happens. So I’ll go in tomorrow as open-minded as I always am and root for the underdog, all while carefully paying attention to reality and preventing myself being fooled. Either way, I’m sure I’ll have a lot of fun.

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Why I Don’t Call Myself Agnostic

Religious folk have it easy (minus that whole eternity of nightmarish torment for kissing the wrong person thing). See, they get to live in a world of black and white, good and evil, right and wrong, yes and no, heaven and hell, The Beatles and Celine Dion. They get to state absolute certainties regardless of their inability to back them up because they have “faith.” And it’s really quite an enviable position, as it doesn’t require much in the way of intellectual leg work*. Debates can pretty much start and end with “this is just how it is,” and anything they add as to why or how is icing on the cake and optional (not to mention easily changed on the fly if the person they’re arguing against calls them on it). They know what they know, and usually can’t be swayed, which makes them look pretty darn strong to an unbiased and inexperienced onlooker.

This difference puts those of us who invest in science, reason, and honest self-examination at a bit of a disadvantage. When we’re explaining our position on a subject to a third party, assuming we play by our own rules, we must readily and honestly admit when we DON’T know something or can’t be 100% certain. While there’s much we’re clear on, there are many topics that aren’t cut and dry, or that we can’t prove/disprove beyond all shadow of a doubt. But those who subscribe to religious beliefs can claim with absolute certainty anything they feel, and when someone’s looking for an answer, especially in a moment of weakness, self-doubt, grief, loss, fear, pain, etc., certainty sure is nice to have.

This comes up quite heavily on the issue of God (we’ll simply go with the Judeo-Christian one for simplicity here, but this applies equally to all other deities and spiritual forces and such), and especially the matter of his existence or lack thereof. See, while religious folk are quite happy to stick with a firm, hard, unwavering “yes, He definitely exists,” those of us with a more scientific angle can only stick to much more wishy-washy answers such as, “we have no evidence he exists,” “his existence is highly improbable,” “while I can’t rule out the possibility entirely, I’m not convinced,” etc. As I remember hearing someone point out recently (wish I remember who so I could credit them), a true scientist if asked whether the sun would rise again tomorrow would say, after pointing out the inaccuracy of the phrase, that all he or she can state is that all observable evidence suggests so. We simply cannot guarantee that a cosmic disaster won’t take place before that moment, or that some reality-altering shift in the universe won’t change all that we know. We’re pretty frickin’ damn sure it’s going to “rise” again tomorrow, as it has every day throughout recorded history, and well before that as we can extrapolate from the preponderance of evidence, and we see no sign of impending doom in any of the vast fields of research in which such an event could be foreseen, but committing 100% is foolish when looking at something scientifically. The unknown must always be accounted for. So the same has to apply to this question of God’s existence, no matter how sure we are he doesn’t exist.

What I’ve noticed from this is that it often affects how a person portrays their philosophy on the subject, leading some to describe themselves as agnostic simply due to accepting this minute possibility that they’re wrong. Now this seems to me a very slim minority of those who are agnostic, with most somewhere between simply not caring and lacking the knowledge to make an informed decision. But some actively decide that it’s impossible to know for a fact or dishonest to state it as such, therefore they’re unwilling to come down on either side of the fence. And while I find this quality admirable, and befitting the attitude of the true rationalist, it just doesn’t work for me on a personal level.

See, I too accept the possibility that I could be wrong, simply because the claims are NOT falsifiable. If it can’t be disproven 100%, I can’t say I’m 100% sure it’s not true. So much like Richard Dawkins, I have to place myself as a 6 on the 7-point scale of hardcore believer to hardcore unbeliever, as stating definitively that there is no God is just as dishonest as stating there most definitely is. I can’t say it’s impossible, as the rules under which he fits are just wide enough that I’d be lying if I said I know I’m right. So then why am I an atheist and not an agnostic? Simple: are you an atackliotist, or are you agnostic to Tackliots? What? You don’t know what Tackliots are? You’ve never heard of them before? That’s because I just made them up, but shhh, don’t tell anyone. Let me fill you in on the background of the amazing being known as the Tackliot:

The Tackliot came into existence before the dawn of time. Now I know what you’re thinking: How can something come BEFORE time? The answer, of course, is shut up. Now the Tackliot was simultaneously everything and nothing. That Tackliot was not only the entire universe, despite the fact that it didn’t yet exist (buh- buh… that’s better), but it also wasn’t the universe. Not even slightly. I’m blowing your mind, right? No? Read it again and then answer that. Not even a little? Try again, but squint this time. Now? Tiny headaches count as a sort of blown mind… Okay, sweet. Anyway, the Tackliot got bored with complete lack of time and a universe, and decided to make one. Since the Tackliot was everything and nothing, it was a simple task to instantly create every possible combination of designs for the universe at once, and then pick its favorites to keep. The Tackliot then absorbed the rest back into itself, and left the remaining universes intact. This meant the Tackliot was no longer everything as some universes now existed outside of itself. Thankfully it couldn’t cease to be nothing, so was able to enjoy this small cold comfort. However the Tackliot soon found that the universes it had created were full of small flaws and holes, and its work was cut out for it patching and fixing all of these various issues, tweaking something here, mending something there, until it had managed to give all that remained of itself to the various universes it had created, once again managing to become everything, and also nothing (see how I tied all that together so masterfully? Yeah, I’m totally down for drinks…). Our universe is but one of the myriad of universes that make up the Tackliot, and we should remember every day the beauty and history of this being that put us here in the lives that we lead. Also, next time you masturbate, remember that the Tackliot is watching you from the air, the walls, the ceiling, the floor, that sock, and is also your hand and junk. Have fun!

Now I know what you’re thinking right now after reading that wacky paragraph: that is AWESOME! Right? No? Try reading it again, but put on 3D glasses this time. Mind-blowing headache, right? Anyway, point is, there’s a being who may or may not exist. Its legacy makes as little or as much sense as most other religious stories about the origin of the universe, and we can’t disprove beyond a shadow of a doubt that it doesn’t exist. Now before you read this, you had to have been an atackliotist because you had no belief that the Tackliot existed. Now that you know the possibility exists, it would arguably be dishonest to say it’s 100% impossible as the story really didn’t provide any falsifiable details.

Of course one thing the story of the Tackliot lacks that the religious stories have is a vast backlog of books, stories, hymns, etc., all backing up the story. It also lacks the thousands, hundreds of thousands, millions, or billions of fellow believers in the story. It lacks preachers, evangelists, and missionaries spreading the word of the Tackliot. So my story is at a pretty serious disadvantage, leaving it still pretty logical to be an atackliotist and not agnostic to his beauty, despite the inability to disprove the story. But what if Christianity didn’t have all of that? What if it lacked the books, the believers, the evangelists, etc.? Would it be any more convincing than my story? Well, without all of that vast wealth behind it, it really is just another story. No better, no worse than the rest. And just as unconvincing. But thankfully for it, it does have all that backing, right?

The thing is, though, for some of us Christianity DOES lack all of that. Because when I examine all of the materials used to prove the subject, I’m left thoroughly unconvinced, not to mention underwhelmed. I find the holy texts lacking all evidence, backing, logic, reasoning, structure, consistency, or believability. They seem to scream to me that they were written by primitive men who needed to explain the world around them based on the limited knowledge they had, while infusing it with stories and rules that backed up what was already important to them while condemning what their enemies held dear. So that, for me, cancels out the books, stories, hymns, etc. They might as well not exist for me.

But then what of the preachers, evangelists, missionaries, and believers? Surely I can’t discount all of them? But I can, because they exist only because of that now-forgotten evidence that left me so very, very unimpressed. They bought the stories that I didn’t. They believed the tales I saw as no different than the average fable. They accepted the stories of other believers who fell for the same poorly-written evidence that left me feeling unimpressed. And for this reason, they no longer exist in this equation. And what does that leave us with? Just another story. Just another story that had I not heard it before, just like you hadn’t heard the story of the Tackliot 10 minutes ago, I would never have even considered as an option in the way the universe works. I’d lack belief in it simply by virtue of the thought never having entered my head. And once I examine the evidence, discount it, and discount all of the surrounding noise that came from it, I have no remaining reason to treat it as anything more than just another story that in another universe I may never have even heard.

It’s for this reason that I, a rational-minded, free-thinking, skeptical, scientific person who must readily admit what he can’t know for certain, and who listens to evidence and changes his position when it becomes clear that it’s time to do so, still chooses to label himself as an atheist and not an agnostic. I was born an atheist, as is every other human being on this planet, and until I’m given something more than noise to consider, I’m going to remain one. Prove me wrong. Please. It’ll blow my mind (more than just giving me a headache), and open up this already incredible universe we live in even further. And contrary to popular belief, there are few things scientists love more than finding out what they believed was wrong and they have a whole new field to explore, complete with vast amounts of research grant dollars. As a mere science spectator (to borrow a term from Penn Jillette), I won’t benefit from the grant dollars, but I’ll be cheering on from the sidelines as we expand the world’s awareness that much further. Yeehaw!

*I need to clarify here that I very much am generalizing for the sake of dramatic effect. I know many religious people who would fit my description of being some of the most intelligent, thoughtful, insightful people I’ve ever known, and I’m lucky to have them and their brilliance in my life. But they’re the minority of what I see from those making religious arguments, especially on the Internet, and so I go after the low-hanging fruit. If you don’t fall into the traps I describe in this post, consider yourself not someone I’m describing.

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Mr. Deity and Da Man

Well, the latest episode of Mr. Deity is out, and it’s a doozy. One of my absolute favorite yet. And that has nothing to do with the fact that I was there, on-set, when it was filmed, operated the cameras, worked as script supervisor, and provided real-time production feedback. I’ll totally skip over the facts that the cameras were completely pre-configured and all I had to do was start and stop them, the cast was so spot-on that dialog reminders were virtually never needed, and my real-time production feedback mostly consisted of laughing at funny things during rehearsal that they had been considering taking out, or reminding them later of hilarious things they improvised earlier that they should use again. Crap, I wrote that out loud, didn’t I?

Anyway, whatever the case, enjoy. And stay tuned for some special news under the video…

Pretty damn good, right? Now in case you were wondering how I got so lucky as to be on the set for this production, it was because I had to have a little meeting with Mr. D himself to discuss my upcoming role in a future episode. That’s right, yours truly will be starring in an episode of Mr. Deity later this year! Who will I be playing? Well, that’s going to have to remain a secret for now, as it’s just too delicious to spoil. Only hint I can give is that I’m going to have to revise a philosophy of mine from my most popular blog post.

Stay tuned for more details…

EDIT: In case anyone ever checks in and asks, the role I eventually ended up playing is NOT the one originally planned. It’s not my place to give away future plot points, which is why I’m not going to specify anything right now, but while it would have been a fun and unusual role to play, I’m much more at home as Timmy, and he provides me with a lot more opportunities.

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Mr. Deity and the Skeptic

I don’t post ALL the Mr. Deity episodes (they’d quickly flood my blog with how little I write on my own), but the latest features Michael Shermer, so I had no choice. Enjoy:

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